Helping Business Systems Deal with Uncertainty

murray-close-bMurray Cantor is founder and CTO of Aptage and has been leading cutting-edge ideas in software and systems development for over 35 years. As an IBM Distinguished Engineer, he led the application of predictive analytics to software and systems planning and development and was the Rational Lead for Analytics and Optimization for Software and Systems. In addition to many articles, he is the author of two books: Object-Oriented Project Management with UML and Software Leadership.

Tools to Manage Uncertainty

APTAGE is for Product Managers, Development Managers, ScrumMasters and others. Today, you can minimize risk and perform better in the face of uncertainty.  Learn how.

Sprint Tester

Velocity Learner

Get the Aptage Release Planner right here (pdf).

We Make Decisions With the Information We Have…

Experience some recent videos and audios

Can We Predict Better?

Aptage-1Gain Confidence in Delivering and Reaching Preset Targets

The odds of completing on time is the ratio of green area to red.

Recently Published

‘Big Data’ is Harmed by Hype

I came across this ad ( today. I actually support ‘big data’ and it’s use for making projections. Big data can make forecasts that are good enough for making sound business decisions. Hence, it can [...]

MC Recommended Reading

Murray's Recommended Reading Page Newly added to the list! Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, Crown Publishing, 2016 LEAN and AGILE MANAGEMENT Eric Brechner, Agile Project Management with Kanban, [...]

A reasonable doubt

Litigator - Military Defense-Court-Martial-Defense-Helixon For a while, I have felt that there should be a greater emphasis on probability in mathematics education. All of us need to understand probability to better understand what is going [...]

Implementing the Integrative Framework, Part IV — Autonomy

In our previous Advisor in this series (see "Implementing the Integrative Framework, Part III -- Alignment"), we defined a modus for alignment in which the development organization executive (e.g., CTO or VP of development) is [...]

Finding Team Velocity Using Bayes Nets

One of challenges of sprint planning is settling on a good choice of velocity. One simple, but imprecise and approach uses burn-up charts. A clear explanation of dealing with uncertainty of velocity using burn-up charts [...]

A New Kind of Software Development Framework

Following up on my previous blog, today my colleague, Israel Gat, and I published a new blog on the Cutter website, describing our recent thoughts on the future of development frameworks. Please click here. We will [...]

Continuing the ‘value of software’ discussion

In a previous post, I promised to continue the discussion of measuring the value of software. I have had several discussions over the last weeks. Many practitioners measure the value of software using intangibles such [...]

Technical Debt, Technical Liability, and Moral Hazard.

I just had a good conversation with Zadia Codabux, a graduate student at Mississippi State University and IBM Graduate Fellow. I am her IBM mentor. Her PhD research is on technical debt. We are trying [...]

Flow measures for Software and Systems

In a previous post, I wrote about lean analytics. I have over the last few weeks written a long article on how to specify and instrument product flow measures for software and systems in the [...]